Live
—
eineurope/
Home/Brazil/Topic · Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro tied in runoff poll
Brazil7h ago

Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro tied in runoff poll

Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro are neck and neck in a simulated presidential runoff, AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll shows.

Sources
1 verified
Location
Brazil
Updated
Tuesday, 28 April 2026 at 18:48 UTC
No media · text-only dispatch
Synthesis · 1 sources
Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro are tied in a simulated runoff, according to an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll released Tuesday. The poll comes ahead of Brazil's presidential election later this year. The tight race signals a highly competitive contest between the incumbent leftist and the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.
Prediction markets · Polymarket
Polymarket↗
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
39%
N
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
38%
N
Romeu Zema
8%
N
Renan Santos
6%
N
Fernando Haddad
3%
N
Camilo Santana
2%
N
Ronaldo Caiado
2%
N
Jair Bolsonaro
1%
N
+7 more outcomes on Polymarket
Polymarket↗
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro
67%
Y
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
22%
N
Renan Santos
6%
N
Fernando Haddad
3%
N
Romeu Zema
2%
N
Camilo Santana
1%
N
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
N
Geraldo Alckmin
0%
N
+7 more outcomes on Polymarket
Polymarket↗
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Romeu Zema
35%
N
Renan Santos
30%
N
Ronaldo Caiado
23%
N
Flávio Bolsonaro
6%
N
Fernando Haddad
3%
N
Ratinho Júnior
3%
N
Tarcisio de Freitas
2%
N
Eduardo Bolsonaro
2%
N
+7 more outcomes on Polymarket
Polymarket↗
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
36%
N
Lula da Silva <5%
34%
N
Lula da Silva 5-10%
26%
N
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+
24%
N
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%
22%
N
Other
19%
N
Ratinho Júnior Victory
19%
N
Lula da Silva 15%+
13%
N
+3 more outcomes on Polymarket
Polymarket↗
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Flavio Bolsonaro
85%
Y
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
80%
Y
Fernando Haddad
16%
N
Jair Bolsonaro
9%
N
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
N
Tarcisio de Frietas
3%
N
e/eineurope · topic · T-09961