United States1d ago
US economic confidence hits lowest since pandemic
The Gallup Economic Confidence Index has plunged to -38, lower than its April 2020 pandemic low.
Sources
1 verified
Location
—
Updated
Monday, 27 April 2026 at 22:14 UTC
Synthesis · 1 sources
American economic confidence has fallen sharply, with the Gallup Economic Confidence Index dropping 11 points in April to -38. This is the lowest reading since November 2023 and is now below the pandemic-era low of -33 recorded in April 2020. The decline signals a significant deterioration in public sentiment about the economy under the current administration.
Prediction markets · Polymarket
Polymarket↗
US economic state at the end of 2026?Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)Y
50%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)Y
50%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)Y
50%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)N
27%
Polymarket↗
US x Cuba economic deal by...?June 30N
24%
April 30N
1%
Polymarket↗
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?2.0–2.5%N
25%
1.5–2.0%N
22%
2.5–3.0%N
18%
1.0–1.5%N
13%
3.0–3.5%N
8%
≥3.5%N
7%
<1.0%N
5%
Polymarket↗
US recession by end of 2026?Yes
26%
No
75%
e/eineurope · topic · T-09524