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ISW: Iran's decision-making fragmented

A U.S. think tank assesses that Iran's internal disarray is preventing it from forming a coherent negotiating position.

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Thursday, 23 April 2026 at 03:00 UTC
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The Institute for the Study of War's Critical Threats Project (ISW-CTP) assesses that Iranian decision-making remains fragmented and in disarray, which explains Tehran's inability to formulate and communicate a coherent negotiating position. The think tank previously assessed on April 15 that the United States is negotiating with a divided committee of hardliners and other factions. This internal division complicates efforts to reach a diplomatic resolution to the ongoing conflict. The assessment aligns with recent White House claims that Iran's disarray demonstrates the success of U.S. pressure.
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