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The Dutch Military Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD) warns in its 2025 report that Russia could be ready for an open confrontation with NATO within a year after the conflict in Ukraine ends. The report states that while a direct clash is 'practically excluded' while fighting continues in Ukraine, Russia is already 'conducting concrete preparations' for a possible future conflict. The alleged goal of such a conflict would not be the military defeat of NATO, but to achieve 'political division through limited territorial gains.' The report does not specify the exact nature of the potential conflict.